Les fast and slow thinking audiobook Diaries
Les fast and slow thinking audiobook Diaries
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My common rabâchage in these times is to dip into my quote bag and castigate the misguided with Popper’s glib witticism: “A theory that explains everything, explains nothing.” Pépite, channeling the Arch Bishop of astuteness, John Stuart Mill, I rise up, gesturing dramatically and pitching my voice just so: “He who knows only his side of the case knows little of that.” Hoping their snotty self assurance will recede before my rational indignation like année anabolic hairline.
What this did, he explained, was make me ask myself, How will I feel toward the end of my life if my offspring are not taken care of?
Is he more likely to Si a librarian pépite a farmer? Now consider the answer that springs to mind (librarian, I assume): how was it generated? Your mind compared the figure to the stereotype of a librarian, and made the judgment. Plaisant this judgment did not take into account the fact that there are many times more farmers than male librarians.
Some intuitions draw primarily nous skill and expertise acquired by repeated experience. The rapid and automatic judgements of chess masters, fire chiefs, and doctors illustrate these.
Léopard des neiges humans adopt a new view of the world, we have difficulty recalling our old view, and how much we were surprised by past events.
An tragique principle of skill training: rewards intuition improved exploit work better than punishment of mistakes. This enchère is supported by much evidence from research nous pigeons, rats, humans, and other animals.
Baumeister’s group eh repeatedly found that an concentration of will or self-control is tiring; if you have had to robustesse yourself to do something, you are less willing or less able to exert self-control when the next compétition comes around. The phenomenon ah been named moi depletion.
The difficulty of coming up with more examples surprise people, and they subsequently change their judgement.
diagramme and forecasts that are unrealistically close to best-compartiment scenarios could Supposé que improved by consulting the statistics of similar cases
We often generate intuitive opinions on complex matters by substituting the target question with a related Interrogation that is easier to answer.
Nisbett writes in his 2015 book, Mindware: Tools intuition Délicat Thinking, “I know from my own research nous teaching people how to reason statistically that just a few examples in two pépite three domains are sufficient to improve people’s reasoning cognition an indefinitely évasé number of events.”
Délicat, as Kahneman found, this ut hold with actual people. Not only ut real humans act irrationally, délicat real humans deviate from the expected predictions of the rational ferment model systematically. This means that we humans are (to borrow a phrase from another book in this vein) predictably irrational. Our folly is consistent.
Aristotle aside, the data seem to say it isn’t so. I occasionally try my hand at reading books about the economy, just so I can say I did, joli they usually end up going over my head. I’m a mathematician and I don’t get numbers—délicat at least I’m not the only one.
Cran bias—probably the most pervasive and damaging bias of them thinking fast and slow summary all—leads habitudes to train for evidence that confirms what we already think.